Chuck's Stab At the 20-Team Field
by, 11-21-2010 at 01:07 AM (2543 Views)
Here's my thought as to who the 20-team field will be.
First, the seeds.
[B]Appalachian State[/B], despite losing to FBS Florida handily today, wins the No. 1 seed since Delaware could not hold on against Villanova in a 28-21 instant classic. (The win by the Wildcats, incidentally, puts them right into an at-large bid.)
[B]William & Mary[/B], CAA champions, are the No. 2, thanks to their resounding 41-3 win over Richmond.
[B]Montana State[/B] is the No. 3, thanks to their 21-16 win over Montana in the 110th "Brawl of the Wild".
And No. 4 belongs to [B]Stephen F. Austin[/B], whose convincing 36-13 victory for the "Chief Caddo" trophy also seems to have given the Lumberjacks a seed as well.
The No. 5 seed seems destined to be [B}Delaware[/B]'s, despite the loss today. As at-large teams go, two last-second defeats to top teams is an extremely strong resume, and a tiny bit better than the other teams in the field.
The at-large teams I'm picking to be:
Eastern Washington (9-2)
New Hampshire (7-4)
Jacksonville State (9-2)
Georgia Southern (7-4)
Western Illinois (7-4)
South Carolina State (9-2)
It seems like [B]North Dakota State[/B] seems like the odd team out versus Liberty, my last team in. Why? I think it comes down to two things: both the Bison and Flames have an FBS win, and the Flames won their last game and only lost the autobid due to the fifth tiebreaker. I refuse to believe the NCAA will punish Liberty for doing their best to win their game handily - giving the autobid away to Coastal Carolina - to lose the playoffs on a tiebreaker.
In contrast, the Bison lost their last game against Missouri State and frankly don't have a quality win on their schedule.
With those teams, here's my stab at the brackets:
Robert Morris at Liberty
First Round Winner vs. No. 1 Appalachian State
Villanova at Northern Iowa
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina State
First Round Winner vs. No. 2 William & Mary
Wofford at Jacksonville State
Western Illinois at Southeast Missouri State
First Round Winner vs. No. 3 Montana State
New Hampshire at Eastern Washington
Bethune-Cookman at Georgia Southern
First Round Winner vs. No. 4 Stephen F. Austin
Lehigh at No. 5 Delaware