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How the GPI Top 25 is Faring 11/19/11

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by
rwallace
, 11-19-2011 at 03:13 AM (2124 Views)
Obviously a crucial week with all big games in the GPI top 25. I'm not expecting the FBS games to have a large impact on playoff selection since the GPI doesn't indicate seeding, bracket placement or game locations, it is all about the at-large. I would think all the at-larges will come from the current GPI top 25.

This week has four games between top 25 teams, two top 25 teams have already finished their season and three top 25 teams play FBS teams. Rankings based on the Gridiron Power Index (GPI).

1. North Dakota State won 37-21 at #74 Western Illinois
2. Sam Houston State won 36-14 at #53 Texas State
3T. Georgia Southern lost 45-21 at FBS Alabama
3T. Northern Iowa won 23-20 at #12 Illinois State (2OT)
5. Montana State lost 36-10 vs. #8 Montana
6T. Appalachian State WON 28-24 at #43 Elon
6T. Wofford won 28-27 at #19 Chattanooga
8. Montana won 36-10 at #5 Montana State
9. Lehigh won 37-13 vs. #71 Lafayette
10. Maine lost 30-27 at #14 New Hampshire
11. Towson won 28-17 at #60 Rhode Island
12. Illinois State lost 23-20 vs. #3T Northern Iowa (2OT)
13. Indiana State lost 35-28 vs. #52 Southern Illinois
14. New Hampshire won 30-27 vs. #10 Maine
15T. Old Dominion 9-2 ENDED SEASON
15T. Youngstown State lost 38-34 vs. #66 Missouri State
17. Harvard won 45-7 at #68 Yale
18. Central Arkansas 8-3 ENDED SEASON
19. Chattanooga lost 28-27 vs. #6T Wofford
20. Furman lost 54-32 at FBS Florida
21. Portland State lost 48-33 vs. #38 Weber State
22. James Madison won 34-17 at #39 Massachusetts
23. Delaware won 26-16 at #77 Villanova
24. Samford lost 35-16 at FBS Auburn
25. South Dakota lost 38-37 at #35 North Dakota

I'll update this as the day goes on.

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Updated 11-19-2011 at 06:19 PM by rwallace

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  1. rwallace's Avatar
    If the higher ranked team wins in each of these games today then the field should be (given AQs already clinched, seeds not in any order):

    AQ
    -----
    SEED- Montana State
    SEED- Georgia Southern
    SEED- North Dakota State
    SEED- Sam Houston State
    Albany
    Lehigh
    Norfolk State
    Stony Brook
    Tennessee Tech
    Towson

    At-Large
    -----
    SEED- Northern Iowa
    Appalachian State
    Indiana State
    Maine
    Old Dominion
    Youngstown State
    Wofford

    and probably even if they lose to the higher ranked opponent today:
    Illinois State
    Montana
    New Hampshire

    Or maybe an 8-3 Central Arkansas or Portland State.

    Certainly that is a lot of ifs and as we know from prior seasons, the way it finishes will change all of this speculation.

    After the polls are released we will see what the final regular season GPI indicated.
  2. rwallace's Avatar
    We should have a real good idea by 6-7 p.m. EDT of the whole picture.

    GPI TOP 25 GAME TIMES (and AQ games)

    Noon - 1
    #3 Northern Iowa 8-2 at #12 Illinois State 7-3
    #9 Lehigh 9-1 vs. #71 Lafayette 4-6
    #10 Maine 8-2 at #14 New Hampshire 7-3
    #11 Towson 8-2 at #60 Rhode Island 3-7
    #17 Harvard 8-1 at #68 Yale 5-4

    1-2
    #15 Youngstown State 6-4 vs. #66 Missouri State 1-9
    #20 Furman 6-4 at FBS Florida 5-5
    #22 James Madison 6-4 at #39 Massachusetts 5-5
    #24 Samford 6-4 at FBS Auburn 6-4
    Sacred Heart @ Albany [major AQ game]

    2-3
    #1 North Dakota State 9-1 at #74 Western Illinois 2-8
    #3 Georgia Southern 9-1 at FBS Alabama 9-1
    #5 Montana State 9-1 vs. #8 Montana 8-2
    #13 Indiana State 6-4 vs. #52 Southern Illinois 3-7
    #25 South Dakota 6-4 at #35 North Dakota 7-3
    Austin Peay @ Tenn Tech [major AQ game]

    3-4
    #6 Wofford 7-3 at #19 Chattanooga 5-5
    #6 Appalachian State 7-3 at #43 Elon 5-5
    #23 Delaware 6-4 at #77 Villanova 2-8
    Liberty @ Stony Brook [major AQ game]

    4:00
    #2 Sam Houston State 10-0 at #53 Texas State 6-5
    #21 Portland State 7-3 vs. #38 Weber State 4-6
    Updated 11-19-2011 at 12:09 PM by rwallace
  3. rwallace's Avatar
    Early scores...

    Noon
    FINAL (2OT) - #3 Northern Iowa 23 at #12 Illinois State 20
    FINAL - #9 Lehigh 37 vs. #71 Lafayette 13
    FINAL - #10 Maine 27 at #14 New Hampshire 30
    FINAL - #11 Towson 28 at #60 Rhode Island 17 [Towson wins CAA AQ]
    FINAL - #17 Harvard 45 at #68 Yale 7

    1:00
    FINAL - #15 Youngstown State 34 vs. #66 Missouri State 38
    FINAL - #20 Furman 32 at FBS Florida 54
    FINAL - #22 James Madison 34 at #39 Massachusetts 17
    FINAL - #24 Samford 16 at FBS Auburn 35
    FINAL - Sacred Heart 21 at Albany 31 [Albany wins NEC AQ]

    2-3
    FINAL - #1 North Dakota State 37 at #74 Western Illinois 21
    FINAL - #3 Georgia Southern 21 at FBS Alabama 45
    FINAL - #5 Montana State 10 vs. #8 Montana 36
    FINAL - #13 Indiana State 28 vs. #52 Southern Illinois 35
    FINAL - #25 South Dakota 37 at #35 North Dakota 38
    FINAL - Austin Peay 7 at Tenn Tech 49 [Tenn Tech wins OVC AQ]

    3-4
    FINAL - #6 Wofford 28 at #19 Chattanooga 27
    FINAL - #6 Appalachian State 28 at #43 Elon 24
    FINAL - #23 Delaware 26 at #77 Villanova 16
    FINAL - Liberty 31 at Stony Brook 41 4Q [Stony Brook wins Big South AQ]

    4:00
    FINAL - #2 Sam Houston State 36 at #53 Texas State 14
    FINAL - #21 Portland State 33 vs. #38 Weber State 48
    Updated 11-19-2011 at 06:10 PM by rwallace
  4. rwallace's Avatar
    With Youngstown and Indiana State losing you have to think Central Arkansas is in.
  5. rwallace's Avatar
    FINAL

    AQ
    -----
    Albany
    Georgia Southern
    Lehigh
    Montana
    Norfolk State
    North Dakota State
    Sam Houston State
    Stony Brook
    Tennessee Tech
    Towson

    Probable At-Large
    -----
    Appalachian State
    Central Arkansas
    Illinois State
    Indiana State/James Madison*
    Maine
    Montana State
    New Hampshire
    Northern Iowa
    Old Dominion
    Wofford

    *(If the committee takes only 7 D-I win teams then this will be James Madison)
  6. rwallace's Avatar
    You have to think that the seeds are going to be (no order) NDSU, SHSU, Georgia Southern, UNI and ... Appalachian State or Wofford? Or Montana (they beat the higher ranked team). Being benevolent, the committee may just give it to Montana because it is close and it spreads out the AQs a bit more than having two for the SoCon and two for the Missouri Valley. Methinks they will surprise us completely.